If we are using a Markov Chain of that found in the Exploration and This ratio might not be fully simplified if you plug in the probabilities, but this is as simplified as we can get algebraically. The probability that we are moving to a 1 is c0/2+s1/2.īecause of this, the ratio of a 0 to 1 after infinite trials is the ratio of the probability that we are moving to a 0 to the probability that we are moving to a 1 or The probability that we are moving to a 0 is s0/2+c1/2. The starting probability will be irrelevant after infinite trials of the probability of 0 being the probability that we are moving to a 0. Now, the probability we will get a 0 is the probability that we are moving to a 0. Therefore, we need to half the probabilities of everything if we are not told if we are at 0 or 1. The probability that we start at state 0 is 1/2 and the probability that we start at state 1 is 1/2. Probability of 1->0 is c1 (change from 1) Probability of 0->1 is c0 (change from 0) Let's say you've set the Markov Chain to have the following probabilities. Let's say we have a Markov chain like the one seen in the Markov Chain Exploration. Is the summary (at the end) of this question correct? We can substitute s0+c1 in for a and s1+c0 in for b. ![]() The probability of having a 0 and the probability of having a 1 if the ratio of 0s to 1s is a:b is a/(a+b) and b/(a+b), respectively. The probability of having a 0 is 3/5 and the probability of having a 1 is 2/5. This means for every 5 outcomes, there are 3 0s and 2 1s. Let's say that the ratio of 0s to 1s is 3:2. The probability of changing from 0 to 1->c0īy knowing the ratio of 0s to 1s, we can find the probability of having a 0 and the probability of having a 1. The probability of staying at 1 if you're at 1->s1 The probability of changing from 1 to 0->c1 The probability of staying at 0 if you're at 0->s0 Look at the Markov chain in the exploration. Yes, I've done this and Brit Cruise said that it was right. I suspect a cellular automata is a more general system than a Markov chain in that each state has multiple inputs (but then it is less general in that all the probabilities are generally equal to 1). If you created a grid purely of Markov chains as you suggest, then each point in the cellular automata would be independent of each other point, and all the interesting emergent behaviours of cellular automata come from the fact that the states of the cells are dependent on one another. You could create a state for each possible universe of states (so if you had a 3x3 grid and each cell could be on or off, you'd have 2^9 = 512 states) and then create a Markov to represent the entire universe, but I'm not sure how useful that would be. You could address the first point by creating a stochastic cellular automata (I'm sure they must exist), or by setting all the probabilities to 1. Generally cellular automata are deterministic and the state of each cell depends on the state of multiple cells in the previous state, whereas Markov chains are stochastic and each the state only depends on a single previous state (which is why it's a chain). Simulation of random walk, Markov chain and Markov jump processes with both time homogeneous and inhomogeneous examples.Interesting idea. Maximum likelihood estimators for the probability of death. Binomial and Poisson models of mortality. Use of maximum likelihood for estimating transition intensities. Time-inhomogeneous processes with generalisation of earlier examples (sickness, death, marriage models). Poisson process, inter-event times, Kolmogorov equations. ![]() Simple examples of time-inhomogeneous Markov chains. Estimation of probabilities, simulation and assessing goodness-of-fit. Application of Markov chain models, eg no-claims discount, sickness, marriage. General theory of Markov chains: transition matrix, Chapman-Kolmogorov equations, classification of states, stationary distribution, convergence to equilibrium. Random walks, transition probabilities, first passage time, recurrence, absorbing and reflecting barriers, gambler's ruin problem. Definitions of stochastic processes, state space and time, mixed processes, the Markov property. Difference between deterministic and stochastic models.
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![]() "On one occasion a player used the N-word to describe the importance of having each others' back," Sarver said through his attorneys. Sarver did acknowledge using the word once many years ago. It is abhorrent and ugly and denigrating and against everything I believe in." "I've never called anyone or any group of people the N-word, or referred to anyone or any group of people by the N-word, either verbally or in writing. Through his legal team, Sarver denied using racially insensitive language. Said a former Suns basketball executive: "There's literally nothing you could tell me about him from a misogynistic or race standpoint that would surprise me." "The level of misogyny and racism is beyond the pale," one Suns co-owner said about Sarver. Some said the longtime owner fostered an environment in which employees felt they were his property, even once asking one woman whether he "owned" her to determine whether she worked for the Suns. Employees recounted conduct they felt was inappropriate and misogynistic, including Sarver once passing around a picture of his wife in a bikini to employees and speaking about times his wife performed oral sex on him. Some told ESPN that he has used racially insensitive language repeatedly in the office. Interviews with more than 70 former and current Suns employees throughout Sarver's 17-year tenure describe a toxic and sometimes hostile workplace under Sarver. The anecdote offers a glimpse into conduct that, sources told ESPN, Sarver has often exhibited since buying the Suns in 2004. "You can't f-ing say that," Watson said again. "You can't say that," Watson, who is Black and Hispanic, told Sarver. "You know, why does Draymond Green get to run up the court and say ," Sarver, who is white, allegedly said, repeating the N-word several times in a row. The Warriors took control in the fourth quarter and cemented a 106-100 win, dropping the Suns to 0-3.Īfter the loss, Suns majority owner Robert Sarver entered the coaches locker room, Watson told ESPN. Still, the Suns were playing the eventual NBA champions close, even leading by 13 in the first half. The young Phoenix Suns team had been toiling at the bottom of the NBA's standings for years, missing the playoffs for six straight seasons while churning through head coaches. ![]() 30, 2016, at Talking Stick Resort Arena in downtown Phoenix, Earl Watson, in just his third game as the Suns' head coach, faced a tall task: beat the powerhouse Golden State Warriors. 13, the NBA announced the conclusion of its report, suspending Sarver for one year and fining him $10 million. You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browserĪllegations of racism and misogyny within the Phoenix Suns: Inside Robert Sarver's 17-year tenure as ownerĮditor's note: ESPN's investigation into Phoenix Suns majority owner Robert Sarver and the Suns' workplace culture originally published on Nov. Places a bot where your crosshair is looking. Useful when you want to place static bots in certain spots. In this case 10 secondsĪdds a bot in the Counter-Terrorist team. Sets the time the trajectories are shown. Especially useful when practicing different grenades. Shows a trajectory when you throw grenades. Will show you if the bullets go through, how much damage they’d do, the travel distance and what material you’re shooting through. Sets the time the bullet impacts are shown. Show bullet impacts, this can help when practicing spray control. Note that most of these commands require sv_cheats 1. This bind will add all of the grenades in the game to your inventory.Ĭasts a ray/straight line to test collision detection.
We created a concealer that takes just a fewdots under my eyes and on problem spots for my skin to look flawless. 94% reported a blurring or smoothing effect under the eyes CARISA’S TAKE:“I was always looking for instant, full coverage with minimal product.94% said the under-eye area looked brighter.97% found the formula lightweight on the skin.Vegan and cruelty free CLINICAL RESULTS: Based on a US consumer study of 32 women:.Range includes shades that can be used for color correcting.Applicator is perfectly flocked to prevent tugging on delicate skin.Custom designed applicator has unique flexibility, allowing it to hug contours for added precision.Contains microspherical powders that fill in lines and provide a smooth, even application. ![]() Liquid formula conceals dark circles, discoloration, blemishes, age spots and hyperpigmentation. ![]() Weightless, creamy formula instantly blends into skin and sets to a natural, airbrushed finish. ![]() Skin looks natural, brightened and refreshed, from morning until night. With a high concentration of pigment and a smooth, even application, it gives maximum results with minimal product. This longwearing, crease-proof and waterproof formula hides imperfections while blurring and evening the complexion. WHAT IT IS: A weightless liquid concealer that instantly delivers full, undetectable coverage with an airbrushed finish. ![]() While Jakiro might not be the best support in Dota 2, he is certainly the most versatile. If everything is done right, Dazzle can heal his teammates potentially up to 800 to 1000 hp. On the other hand, the enemies will lose armor. Teammates affected by this ability will gain armor. The next and final healing ability is the Bad Juju. With this ability, Dazzle sends out a huge bolt of power toward his teammates that heals them and damages any enemy heroes that get in the way. Next up, we have the Shadow Wave ability. Even if they are really close to dying, the Shallow Grave ability will not let your teammates die. With this ability, all teammates essentially get immune from death. Almost all Dazzle's abilities have something to do with healing teammates.įirst up, we have the Shallow Grave ability. No other hero does healing better than Dazzle. The main reason for that is healing, lots and lots of healing.Īs we have already discussed, one of the main jobs of support heroes is to heal their teammates. While his abilities allow him to be effective at the Nuker or Disabler role, he shines the most in the Support role. Dazzleĭazzle is probably the strongest support hero of Dota 2 right now. Needless to say, Winter Wyvern is a great choice for anyone looking to play as support in Dota 2. Also, Winter Wyvern was at the third spot on the most picked list for the Arlington Major and got an impressive win rate of 55.56%. Winter Wyvern was on the 12th spot in pick rate for the 2021-2022 DPC Spring tour and had a win rate of 53.9%. She is currently one of the strongest support heroes in the game. However, this does not mean that Wyvern is no longer a viable hero. However, since she got added to the game, Wyvern significantly got nerfed. Along with that, the ultimate lasted the full duration. Wyvern, at launch, had one of the most powerful ultimates in the game. If you were playing Dota 2 when Wyvern got added to the game, you probably know how much havoc she reaped in Dota 2 matches. Wyvern is basically a dragon that breaths snow instead of fire. As her name suggests, all her abilities have something to do with winter, cold temperatures, or snow. ![]() Winter Wyvern is primarily a support hero in Dota 2, but she has abilities that make her great at the Disabler or the Nuker role as well. Here are some of the best support heroes you can pick in Dota. Dota 2 players have started to pick particular heroes because of their improved abilities. With the recent patch for Dota 2, several support heroes have climbed up the ladder of effectiveness. In short, the main job of the support is to help the cores farm and gain experience. Some supports can even get some early kills during the laning phase. ![]() Supports have abilities that can heal their teammates, give them armor, or prevent them from dying.Īnother common ability that support heroes have is that they can lower the cooldowns of their teammates so they can get their abilities back faster. ![]() Supports are there to help the carries and offlaners have an easier time farming during the early phases of the game. If the core heroes are not farmed before the late-game starts, the team will have a much harder time trying to deal with the opponents. The core heroes include the carries and the offlaners, both of which can only reach their full potential if they are allowed to farm comfortably during the laning phase. They need support to stay alive and farm. Why does the team need support? During the early to mid-game of a Dota 2 match, the core heroes are super vulnerable. What Are Supports In Dota 2 & Why Are They NecessaryĪs the name suggests, Support heroes are there to support the team. Here is our complete Dota 2 support guide for 2022. If you are a support player in Dota 2 and want to get better at it, you are at the right place. However, they are neglected by players quite often. Support is one of the most important roles in Dota 2. The flowers also attract hummingbirds and butterflies. One of the benefits of the chaste tree is the length of time it blooms. Look for the weeping Higan Cherry and the weeping Snow Fountain Cherry to add a sense of elegance to the garden.The chaste tree blooms from late spring to early fall, with long and spiky, white, pink, and lilac/lavender flowers. In addition to these upright growing varieties, flowering Cherries are available in a beautiful weeping form. Its upright, vase-shaped branching habit makes it a lovely specimen. It blooms a couple of weeks later than the Yoshino Cherry. Prunus serrulata ‘Kwanzan’ has particularly pretty, double-pink blossoms which are especially long lasting. This hybrid Cherry comes from Japan and is the predominant Cherry tree planted in Washington D.C, enjoyed during the Cherry Blossom Festival each year. Prunus x yedoensis, commonly called Yoshino Cherry, has fragrant flower clusters that emerge pale pink and fade to white, creating a profuse and spectacular early spring show. ![]() Iconic images of the Cherry Blossom Festival in Washington, DC come to mind when we think of flowering Cherries. Other varieties to consider include ‘Leonard Messel’, ‘Ann’, ‘Butterflies’ ‘, Elizabeth’ and ‘Ricki’.Īvailable in upright tree form and weeping varieties, flowering Cherries are some of the loveliest spring flowering trees. Flowers bloom sporadically during the summer, extending its season of beauty. ![]() It blooms slightly later than the classic Saucer Magnolia, thereby reducing the possibility of late season frost damage. Seeing them dance in the wind is a delight. The variety that most closely resembles the classic Saucer Magnolia is Magnolia ‘Jane’ with its 8 inch cup shaped flowers. Magnolia stellata (the Star Magnolia) is distinguished by its showy, fragrant white flowers that have a pink tinge. No matter what type of Magnolia you choose, it will add a natural grace in the garden. They are best sited in a protected location to avoid a late frost which might damage emerging flowers. All display fat, fuzzy buds through the winter, offering promise of the spring to come. Some varieties grow in tree form, others as multi-trunked shrubs. Whether you choose a Saucer-type Magnolia like those on Comm Ave or a Star Magnolia with its multi petaled flowers, you will enjoy a spring show like no other. Nothing says spring in Boston like the Magnolias that line Commonwealth Avenue. Varieties to consider include ‘Appalachian Red’, ‘Ruby Falls’, ‘Pink Heartbreaker’ and ‘Forest Pansy’. With age, the bark develops exfoliating rust colored patches. They become bluish green as the season progresses, turning yellow in the fall. Leaves are distinctly heart shaped, opening in tones of bronze or reddish purple. Redbuds are also available in a weeping form. A small low branching tree, it has a spreading habit and rounded crown, altogether an elegant form. In late April and early May before the leaves emerge, clusters of magenta buds open to rose pink flowers, offering a breathtaking sweep of color. One of our native trees, the Eastern Redbud is a true harbinger of spring. Here are some of our favorite options to consider. But at this time of year it is the joy of seeing them in bloom that most endears them to us. Their bare branches in winter add structure and a sense of sculpture to the garden, making them four season contributors to the landscape. ![]() Not only do they provide an early and welcome burst of color after a long winter, their leaves offer interesting shapes and textures throughout the summer and lovely color in the fall. Who can resist the frothy pink flowers of the Kwanzan Cherry or the long-lasting and elegant flowers of the Dogwood? Many spring flowering trees are suitable for the residential landscape and are fully hardy in our area. One of the prettiest sights of the gardening year is the show provided by spring flowering trees. Weapon Focus: Sky-Hook Executions, Broadsider Pistol, Possessed MachinesĪchievement #1 – Should Auld Acquaintance: Unlocked 1999 Mode. This is how I derive my Achievement Breakdowns & the first reference I create before I begin my 100% journeys.Ģ. But do not let me dissuade you, it is still achievable & I do my best to walk you through each Challenge.įor those interested, here is an organized list of all the Achievements/Secret Achievements. So… 60 mini-Achievements we have to unlock. These Challenges range from easy to obscene. Each Wave has a Blue Ribbon Challenge that require us to complete the Wave in a specific way to be awarded the Ribbon. Clash In the Clouds has 4 Arenas to complete, each having 15 Waves in them. It is the Blue Ribbon Champ Achievement that is an absolute nightmare to get. 9/10 of its Achievements are not actually too bad. This works into our favour as all the Achievements are actually associated with non-lethal methods anyways.Ĭlash In the Clouds is most likely the reasons you will not get 100% completion for this game. This disables all lethal options & we must strictly knock enemies out. For Episode 2 however, we will need to beat it on 1998 Difficulty. For Episode 1, the Achievements are fairly straight forward. These Episodes have infinitely spawning enemies like in the first two Bioshocks, so you do not have to worry about running out of enemies to kill for the Slay Achievements in them. These each have 10 Achievements in them & have great stories as well. There are 3 DLCs in Bioshock – Infinite, the first two are the Burial At Sea Episodes. There are quite a few Collectibles to find in the game, but I will include all their locations & guide you straight to them all. ![]() You can keep reloading the same Checkpoint or Chapter & farming kills for specific Weapons. It is important to note that kills are cumulative across your Saves. Basically, always carry guns you do not have Achievements unlocked for yet, or at least one gun on 1999 Difficulty, you kind of have to use what you have ammo for. I will include when & where I unlock certain Slay Achievements, but do not let that railroad you if you do not want to use my active Weapon loadouts. Keep these in mind as we progress through the game. ![]() There is a massive amount of “enemy kill”, or Slay Achievements as I call them, associated with the different Weapons & Vigors in Bioshock – Infinite. We are still able to use the Minuteman’s Armory (Weapon Upgrades) & the Veni! Vidi! Vigor! (Vigor Upgrades) vending machines it is only Dollar Bill vending machines we cannot use. Scrounge everything you can, it helps since we are searching for Collectibles so we will be walking every inch of ground in Columbia. This greatly increases the difficulty, but it is not impossible. These vending machines sell you general goods like Health Kits, Salts, & Ammo. While playing on 1999 Difficulty there is also an Achievement to beat the game without purchasing a single Item from a Dollar Bill vending machine. Scroll down to the top of Sequence 1 to find out how to do that… We can unlock 1999 Difficulty as the very first thing we do before starting a New Game. Checkpoints are common however, so do not worry too much. If you do not have enough money to pay for the revival you will be sent back to the Main Menu & you have to reload your last Checkpoint. There is no Saving in Bioshock – Infinite, but we can revive ourselves using Silver Eagles when we die. If that is too difficult, you can use this guide on any difficulty & run a second playthrough afterwards solely focusing on 1999 Difficulty (the story is actually good enough you may end up doing that anyways). It seems to only be Bioshock.All the achievements can be unlocked in a single run of the game if you play on 1999 Difficulty. I did the "play all games"-achievemnt in Castlevania collection and it popped instantly as soon i opened the final game. Has anyone had a similiar problem with this game or a problem of this kind with another game? I've also tried another game. I have tried the following: Hard reset Console reset to factory settings Comparing with a friend Logging in on on the PC When i did the comparing with a freind, 1 achievemnt popped (spend 10, 000 dollars at the vending machines) but everyting else i stuck, even since then. ![]() The ingame tracker shows progess but no achievemnts are popping. I searched the problem and couldn't find anything similiar. After playing a few chapters i noticed the achivements weren't unlocking as i did a lot of diffrent tasks (the vigor combinations, chapter specific achievemnts and so on). I picked up today where i went off yesterday. I stopped playing it as soon as I noticed. ![]() Hello! I was playing Bioshock Infinite yesterday while the xbox live went down. ![]() Thankfully, baby swings can provide a safe, comfortable spot for parents to place their babies briefly while awake. The newborn insert is not required for use however, you may choose to use it because it does provide extra support for the baby.Babies require a lot of holding, soothing, and feeding, which can sometimes feel exhausting for parents. ![]() Is the newborn insert required for use with the MamaRoo® Multi-Motion Baby Swing? If your baby falls asleep in the mamaRoo infant seat we recommend moving the baby to a separate approved sleep surface, such as a crib, playard or bassinet.īecause the MamaRoo® Multi-Motion Baby Swing is neither a flat surface (there is always a slight recline) or a firm surface as recommended by the AAP, the MamaRoo® 5 Multi-Motion Baby Swing is not an approved sleep surface. The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) recommends babies shouldn't be in a swing more than 30 minutes at a time. How long can my baby stay in the MamaRoo® Multi-Motion Baby Swing throughout the day? With these new features as well as the updated, modernized, aesthetic, the MamaRoo seamlessly integrates into the homes of new families. Bluetooth enabled so you can control motion & sound from your smart device.Ģ017 – The MamaRoo4® Multi-Motion Baby Swing™ updates include a more user-friendly interface developed based on consumer feedback, improved fabrics – softer classic fabrics and modern fresh designs for the plush fabrics, and an improved toy bar with interactive toy balls featuring a rattle, crinkle, and mirror.Ģ022- The new MamaRoo® Multi-Motion Baby Swing™ includes updated Bluetooth capabilities to stream music, and new voice control technology has been added for compatibility with Amazon Alexa and Google Home (coming soon). Differences are described below:Ģ010 – The original MamaRoo® Multi-Motion Baby Swing™ can be identified by the visible snaps on the fabric and concave center hub.Ģ011 – Updated to include wrap-around seat fabric.Ģ012 – Updated to include faster speeds, a new interface, and a locking toy bar.Ģ015 – Updated base design, new plush seat patterns and toy ball designs, updated built-in sounds and an updated LCD interface. All models include the five unique motions and built-in sounds. What are the differences between the various models/versions of the MamaRoo® Multi-Motion Baby Swing?Īt 4moms we believe in better! The MamaRoo® Multi-Motion Baby Swing has always been a great product and we continue to make updates to deliver dramatically better products. All fabrics are easy to remove and machine washable.If baby falls asleep, move baby as soon as possible to a firm, flat sleep surface such as a crib or bassinet. This product is not intended, designed or marketed for sleep or unsupervised use. If using the 3-point harness, must transition to use of the5-point harness when baby can sit up unassisted.The restraint can be configured with the 3-point harness or 5-point harness. The MamaRoo® Multi-Motion Baby Swing™ is intended for use until your little one reaches a maximum of 25lbs (11.3 kg) or attempts to climb out (approximately 9 months), whichever comes first.Bluetooth functionality - stream baby’s favorite music and easily adjust motion, speed, or sound with the 4moms app.Wi-Fi smart home integration - voice control with Amazon Alexa or Google Home (currently in Beta phase).Find the MamaRoo® motion and speed combinations that are inspired by your own natural moves. ![]()
Sundays' are very busy, with the jazz brunch, and some diners and families, spend the rest of the day around the pool area. As mentioned, the dinners in the hotel are excellent, and even the bar snacks are substantial and good. The V & A is the normal place to go to eat,( over 75 places to eat and drink ) but some are quite ' touristy '. We only tried the chinese, 'Tao Yuan', in the direction of Camps Bay, and cannot recommend it. There are very little options for eating out near the hotel. There is a free shuttle ( people carrier ) from the hotel to the V & A Waterfront and back, which when the hotel is quiet, can be booked as and when required. Nothing was too much trouble for any of the staff. The dinners, are exceptional, and not expensive. ![]() The breakfasts are good, with the option of buffet, or menu ordering. I don't think that it would be a problem, but we prefered being able to open our window, and have a view, with no obstructions. Between the windows of these rooms and the courtyard, is the ' corridor '. There are a number of rooms, facing onto the courtyard. We had a room overlooking Signal Hill, which was fine. ![]() The attentiveness of the staff, from check in to check out, is excellent.The rooms are a good size, and everywhere is kept spotless. Definitely,this hotel is not part of a chain. Sundays' are very busy, with the jazz brunch, and some diners and families, spend. ![]()
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